Risk Disclosure

Last updated: April 14, 2026

IMPORTANT — READ BEFORE TRADING

Trading prediction market contracts is speculative, involves substantial risk of loss, and is not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial objectives, experience, and risk tolerance before using Edgebook.AI or placing any trade.

1. No Investment Advice

Edgebook.AI is not a registered broker-dealer, investment advisor, commodity trading advisor, introducing broker, or financial planner with the SEC, CFTC, FINRA, NFA, or any other regulatory body. Nothing provided through the Service — including signals, scores, composite rankings, portfolio analytics, leaderboards, or any written commentary — should be construed as investment advice, a solicitation, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security or contract.

All content is for informational and educational purposes only. You are solely responsible for evaluating any information, deciding whether to trade, and managing your own risk. We strongly encourage you to consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before acting on any signal or trading on any prediction market.

2. Risk of Loss

You may lose the entire amount you commit to any prediction market contract. In some cases, losses may exceed your initial outlay. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose entirely.

The following risks are inherent to prediction market trading:

  • Market risk: Contract prices can move rapidly against your position, including during news events, market opens, and market closes.
  • Binary settlement risk: Kalshi contracts typically settle to $1.00 or $0.00. A contract you hold may settle to zero, resulting in the loss of 100% of the amount paid for that contract.
  • Liquidity risk: Markets may become illiquid, preventing you from exiting a position at a desirable price or at all before expiration.
  • Volatility risk: Prediction markets can experience sharp, discontinuous price moves following news, polls, regulatory actions, or social media events.
  • Execution risk: Orders may fail, execute at unexpected prices, or be delayed due to API outages, rate limits, or connectivity issues.
  • Settlement risk: Event outcomes may be disputed, delayed, or re-adjudicated by the exchange operator, affecting the final settlement of your contracts.

3. Signals Are Not Guarantees

Edgebook.AI signals are generated by algorithmic models using historical and real-time market data. These models are not perfect and will produce losing signals. Specifically:

  • A high composite score does not guarantee a profitable trade;
  • An ENTER signal can be wrong and lead to immediate losses;
  • Backtested or simulated performance does not predict future results;
  • Algorithm behavior may change at any time without notice;
  • Signals may be affected by data quality, API latency, or bugs.

Past performance — whether reported, backtested, or displayed on a leaderboard — is not indicative of future results.

4. You Are the Decision Maker

Every trade placed through Edgebook.AI is your own decision and your own responsibility. The Service provides tools and signals; it does not act on your behalf without your approval. You acknowledge and agree that:

  • You authorize each trade by approving a signal;
  • You control the capital in your own Kalshi account;
  • Edgebook.AI does not custody or manage your funds;
  • You are responsible for any tax consequences of your trades.

5. Regulatory Environment

Prediction market regulation is evolving. Kalshi is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a designated contract market (DCM). However, legal and regulatory status varies by contract type, jurisdiction, and over time. Certain Kalshi contracts are not available in all U.S. states, and some states prohibit prediction market trading entirely. It is your responsibility to confirm that your trading is permitted in your jurisdiction.

6. Technology and Operational Risks

  • The Service, Kalshi's platform, or the internet itself may experience outages, bugs, or latency;
  • Orders placed during outages may fail, execute late, or at unintended prices;
  • Data feeds (prices, positions, balance) may be delayed or inaccurate;
  • Cybersecurity incidents could compromise accounts or result in unauthorized trades;
  • Algorithmic or code errors may cause incorrect signals or unintended trade behavior.

7. No Guarantee of Profit

Edgebook.AI makes no representation, warranty, or guarantee that any user will profit from using the Service. Most speculative traders lose money over time. The majority of retail traders across financial markets, including prediction markets, experience net losses. Do not trade with funds you cannot afford to lose.

8. Conflicts of Interest

From time to time, Edgebook.AI, its officers, or its employees may hold positions in prediction market contracts for which signals are displayed. We make no representation that any such position will be disclosed. We may close positions before or after signals change.

9. Tax Responsibility

Prediction market trading may result in taxable events. Edgebook.AI does not provide tax advice. You are solely responsible for reporting and paying any applicable taxes on your trading activity. Consult a qualified tax advisor.

10. Acknowledgment

By using Edgebook.AI, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted this Risk Disclosure. You affirm that:

  • You understand that prediction market trading carries substantial risk of loss;
  • You are trading with capital you can afford to lose entirely;
  • You will not hold Edgebook.AI liable for any trading losses;
  • You are solely responsible for your trading decisions.

11. Contact

Questions about this Risk Disclosure may be directed to: legal@edgebook.live